Polling update

The polls are moving in important ways:

1. The ACA is more popular than ever. Recent polling shows between 48% and 54% approval. Pence sounds increasingly ridiculous when he says, “America’s Obamacare nightmare is about to end.” The repeal mess has become the GOP’s nightmare.

2. A plurality (47%) of Americans say Trump has violated the Constitution, and and a majority believe he has acted unethically or illegally as president.

3. Trump’s approval ratings have sunk to 38-39%. Nate Silver and Josh Marshall offer some important caveats, but no matter what, these numbers are disastrous.

Good luck with that math, GOP. The next important numbers are 25 (as in the 25th Amendment for removing an “unable” president), 41 and 51 (the votes to filibuster — and defeat the nuclear option– of any SCOTUS nomination during a criminal investigation of the 2016 election), and 218, the number of House seats to take back a majority and control the committees that investigate this administration’s corruption.

Author: Jed Shugerman

Legal historian at Fordham Law School, teaching Torts, Administrative Law, and Constitutional History. JD/PhD in History, Yale. Red Sox and Celtics fan, youth soccer coach. Author of "The People's Courts: Pursuing Judicial Independence in America" (2012) on the rise of judicial elections in America. I filed an amicus brief in the Emoluments litigation against Trump along with a great team of historians. I'm working on "The Rise of the Prosecutor Politicians," a history of prosecutors and political ambition (a cause of mass incarceration), and "The Imaginary Unitary Executive," on the myths and history of presidential power in America.

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