Biden 369-Trump 169:
By the way, this is no wildly optimistic fantasy. I’m assuming the polls are right, and underestimated minority Election Day turnout, which offsets the problems of mail delays and rejecting absentee ballots. But the mail and the absentee process are still problems.
Senate: Dems flip CO, AZ, ME, NC, IA, and 2 surprises: MT and GA (Ossoff wins 50%, no run-off). Lose AL. +6 = 53-46 Dem Senate. GA Special will be a run-off.
House: Dems gain for 243-192 majority: flip NJ2, NC2, NC6, AZ6, MN1, TX23, TX24, PA10, OH1, GA7, IN5.
Gov: One flip: Dems lose Montana.